European Residual Mix
The residual mix is a key tool for avoiding double counting of the same amount of electricity from a certain energy source.
This is explained in detail in the Best Practice Recommendations from the RE-DISS project.
AIB is updating the Residual Mix calculation methodology to overcome issues with the previous methodology. The reasons for change and the new methodology are downloadable from this page. This methodology was subjected to an initial round of consultations in December 2019, and further comments to this methodology were invited by 15th March 2020. A webinar was held on 10th March 2020 to present this methodology and providing occasions for questions, and presentations given are downloadable below:
AIB has published the Residual Mixes and European Attribute Mix of 2018. The calculation was carried out by Grexel Systems Ltd on behalf of AIB, assisted by Ostfoldforskning and Ecoinvent.
A residual mix represents the mix of uncertified electricity and is a key ingredient of a reliable disclosure system. A residual mix is needed for reliable disclosure of electricity consumption where Guarantees of Origin (or in some cases other legally accepted tracking instruments) are not used. Due to the international nature of both the power market and the Guarantee of Origin (GO) market, centrally calculated residual mixes and the European Attribute Mix (EAM) are needed. Energy authorities use the results of the calculation either directly or to calculate the residual mix for their respective country using national rules.
Key findings of the 2018 calculation are:
- The volume of explicitly tracked consumption grew from 962 TWh to 988 TWh meaning more certification of consumed electricity, using e.g. GOs.
- The share of untracked consumption continued to shrink being 70% in 2018. The lowest shares of untracked consumption (apart from Austria that has implemented full disclosure) were in Ireland (11,9%) and Sweden (16,1%). The low share of untracked consumption indicates the willingness of the power consumers to favour green over generic power products.
- On average, the residual mixes of 2018 have 12,4% (17,3) renewable, 33,0% (23,8) nuclear and 54,6% (58,9) fossil (2017 figures in brackets).
- The volume of the total deficit in national residual mixes before balancing via EAM grew from 277 TWh to 287 TWh indicating stronger polarization between importing and exporting countries and hence greater need for centrally coordinated residual mix calculation.
The complete results of the calculation can be found below.
The presence and use of reliably calculated Residual Mixes make the entire disclosure system trustworthy, by determining and correctly disclosing the origin of consumed electricity to consumers who are purchasing a non-specific type of electricity. The concept of Residual Mix is also recognised, and its role explicitly mentioned and further strengthened by the RED II Directive.
To avoid inflation of the available energy attributes in all cases where GOs are exported, a coordinated European Attribute Mix needs to be calculated and applied. AIB’s coordination of the EAM calculation complements the AIB HUB service extremely well: it informs countries of the origin of the energy they receive in return, when GOs are exported via the AIB HUB. This is a prerequisite for a complete and reliable electricity disclosure and closes the loop for the HUB service.
At the same time, it is important to remember that Residual Mixes can be seen as an intermediary step towards a full disclosure system in which all consumed electricity is certified by cancelled GOs. Indeed, if all electricity was explicitly tracked through GOs (as it is done in Austria), no residual mix would be needed – which would improve the reliability, accuracy, efficiency and credibility of the disclosure system.